Nuclear War 2025: How many of the linked markets resolve Yes?
8
10kṀ7242
2026
82%
0
8%
1
1.7%
2
1.7%
3
1.7%
4-5
1.7%
6-8
1.8%
9-12
1.7%
13-17

From these three markets, counting the sub-questions individually:

/IsaacKing/will-any-nuclear-weapon-be-detonate-c8fe71e2c9cf

/EvanDaniel/which-countries-will-detonate-a-nuc-xh4ms2fck1

/EvanDaniel/will-nuclear-weapons-cause-at-least

This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to the resolution of the underlying markets.

  • Update 2025-03-01 (PST): - Resolution Date: January 2026 to reflect events in 2025. (AI summary of creator comment)

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