Will an above-ground nuclear test take place in 2025?
20
1kṀ13kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The weapon must detonate, meaning nuclear yield exceeding chemical yield.
Offensive, peaceful, or accidental use is not included.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ598 | |
| 2 | Ṁ135 | |
| 3 | Ṁ81 | |
| 4 | Ṁ40 | |
| 5 | Ṁ26 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an above-ground nuclear test take place in 2026?
9% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
11% chance
Above-ground nuclear explosion by EOY 2026?
15% chance
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
10% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
17% chance