Nuclear Risk 2025: How many of the 7 linked questions resolve Yes?
22
10kṀ19kJan 2
90%
0
5%
1
1.4%
2
1.6%
3
1.6%
4-5
1%
6-7
This is a derivative market. It will resolve exactly according to the resolution of the following questions:
/IsaacKing/will-any-nuclear-weapon-be-detonate-c8fe71e2c9cf
/EvanDaniel/will-there-be-an-offensive-nuclear
/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-that-is-not-curren-ncdy4rg06s
/EvanDaniel/will-north-korea-detonate-a-nuclear-vuou3sbyi3
/EvanDaniel/will-an-aboveground-nuclear-test-ta-6g0yu8nmo1
/EvanDaniel/will-iran-acquire-a-nuclear-weapon
/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-formally-leave-the-8asrgfzza7
See also:
/EvanDaniel/nuclear-war-2025-how-many-of-the-li
Previously:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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