Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
68
Ṁ1kṀ39kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, including reporting on weapons tests (reports that they had the weapon to perform the test are sufficient; they do not need to still be in possession of another one).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ639 | |
| 2 | Ṁ372 | |
| 3 | Ṁ306 | |
| 4 | Ṁ302 | |
| 5 | Ṁ289 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?
5% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
30% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?
59% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
50% chance
Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before the end of 2026?
3% chance
Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?
15% chance
IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
60% chance
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
9% chance