Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030? | Manifold

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

Nuclear•Nuclear Risk

7

54

Ṁ208

Ṁ170

2031

16%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question will resolve YES if a nuclear disaster occurs by end of year 2030 that scores a seven on the International Nuclear Event Scale. If a disaster occurs near the resolution date that could plausibly resolve YES, I will extend trading until a INES score is given.

Get Ṁ200 play money

Related in Nuclear

Will Tokamak Energy's Demo4 superconducting magnet system be assembled and finish testing by 12/31/2024?

Will fusion provide >10% of US electrical power by 2100?

See more Nuclear questions

Related in Nuclear Risk

Will a nuclear bomb be detonated in space by 2050?

If North Korea attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon, will it succeed?

See more Nuclear Risk questions

More related questions

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?

Will there be any catastrophic cascading natural disasters in 2023 or 2024?

Will there be an accidental nuclear detonation in 2024?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?

Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

Will an eco-terrorism act causing a significant loss of life (10+) occur before 2035?

Nuclear questions

Will Tokamak Energy's Demo4 superconducting magnet system be assembled and finish testing by 12/31/2024?

Will fusion provide >10% of US electrical power by 2100?

Nuclear Risk questions

Will a nuclear bomb be detonated in space by 2050?

If North Korea attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon, will it succeed?

Related questions

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?

Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will there be any catastrophic cascading natural disasters in 2023 or 2024?

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

Will there be an accidental nuclear detonation in 2024?

Will an eco-terrorism act causing a significant loss of life (10+) occur before 2035?