Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation in 2025?
26
Ṁ60602026
7%
chance
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Tests, accidental detonations, and peaceful nuclear explosions are not included. During 2025, UTC time.
The weapon must detonate to be included. A detonation will include any explosion where the nuclear yield exceeds the conventional yield.
This is intended to be a derivative market of /EvanDaniel/which-countries-will-detonate-a-nuc-xh4ms2fck1 . If there are differences or relevant edge cases that would prevent that from being a good interpretation of this question, please point them out promptly.
See also: /EvanDaniel/will-a-nuclear-weapon-be-detonated-6cba7b4a2e34
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