Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030? | Manifold

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

Basic

7

Ṁ64

2031

44%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question will resolve YES if a nuclear disaster occurs by end of year 2030 that scores a five, six, or seven on the International Nuclear Event Scale. If a disaster occurs near the resolution date that could plausibly resolve YES, I will extend trading until a INES score is given.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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