"Grok 4.2" refers to a model recognized as the successor of Grok 4.1 in a similar or greater way to how Grok 4.1 was the successor to Grok 4, so Grok 5.0, Grok 4.5, Grok 4.20, etc would count.
The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
See also:
/Bayesian/grok-42-xai-release (this market)
/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-5
/Bayesian/gemini-35-google-release-date
/Bayesian/gemini-40-google-release-date
/Bayesian/gpt55-openai-release-date
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6
/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2
/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp
/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4
/Bayesian/when-will-moonshot-release-kimi-k3
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-their-next
/Bayesian/when-will-thinking-machines-announc
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@Bayesian i mean, he has given a lot of wrong statements about when it would be released. But this time it's different because it's such a short time frame that it's much harder for him to be delusional
Remember it was once said the release was in 2025. When does his 2025 end?
Before 2026-01-16 can resolve NO

