Thinking Machines' first LLM announcement date

Question

Models are considered announced only if the announcements are made through some official channels. An announcement need not be accompanied by a release to count.

The AI announced must have a language output modality, ie it must be a language model. A model that only generates images or videos, or a robotic model, would not count.

See also:

@Grok 5 (xAI) release date@Gemini 3.2 (Google) release date@Gemini 3.5 (Google) release date@Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date@GPT 5.5 (OpenAI) release date@GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date@Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date@Claude Mythos (Anthropic) release date@V4 (DeepSeek) release date@R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date@Llama 5 (Meta) release date@Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date@Kimi K3 (Moonshot) release date@GLM 5.5 (Z.ai) release date@M3 (Minimax) release date@Gemma 4 (Google) release date@OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date@Thinking Machines' first LLM announcement date (this market)

@Veo 4 (Google) release date@New image / video "Mango" model (Meta) release date@'Avocado' LLM (Meta) release date

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Before 2027, followed by Before December 2026 and Before November 2026 are most likely. See the market for live updates (10 traders, as of Mar 31, 2026).

People are also trading

Related questions