When will Thinking Machines announce their first language model?
6
1.7kṀ2854
2026
19%
Before November 2025
26%
Before December 2025
35%
Before 2026
43%
Before February 2026
50%
Before March 2026
55%
Before April 2026
59%
Before May 2026
63%
Before June 2026
66%
Before July 2026
69%
Before August 2026
71%
Before September 2026
72%
Before October 2026
73%
Before November 2026
75%
Before December 2026
77%
Before 2027

Model are considered announced only if the announcements are made through some official channels. An announcement need not be accompanied by a release to count.

The AI announced must have a language output modality, ie it must be a language model. A model that only generates images or videos, or a robotic model, would not count.

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/Bayesian/when-will-thinking-machines-announc (this market)

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