When will xAI release Grok 5?
2
1kṀ2380
2026
5%
Before September 2025
9%
Before October 2025
15%
Before November 2025
39%
Before December 2025
63%
Before 2026
78%
Before February 2026
84%
Before March 2026
90%
Before April 2026
93%
Before May 2026

"Grok 5" refers to a model recognized as the successor of Grok 4 in a similar way to how Gemini 3 was the successor to Gemini 2, so Grok 5.0 would count, but Gemini 4.X would not.

Models are considered released if they are accessible to some members of the public beyond a closed beta. An API-only release counts, as is one limited to payed users or users of a particular country.

See also:

/Bayesian/when-will-google-release-gemini-3

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-5 (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6

/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4

/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp

/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-their-next

/Bayesian/when-will-thinking-machines-announc

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