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MANIFOLD
Veo 4 (Google) release date
29
Ṁ1.2kṀ9k
resolved Oct 2
Resolved
NO
Before February 2026
Resolved
NO
Before March 2026
Resolved
NO
Before April 2026
Resolved
NO
Before May 2026
Resolved
NO
Before June 2026
Resolved
NO
Before July 2026
Resolved
NO
Before August 2026
Resolved
NO
Before September 2026
Resolved
NO
Before October 2026
Resolved
NO
Before November 2026

Minor changes to the name, such as 'Veo 4 Ultra', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Veo 4, will count for the purpose of this market.

The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.

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bought Ṁ200 NO

@Bayesian resolves no thanks

bought Ṁ54 NO

@Bayesian before september can resolve

Huh this keeps getting pushed back? Or Google have gone another route with their Omni models?

@Bayesian yo bro time for this month's resolution

Ah right so this was kind of bullshit. It was Gemini Omni and not Veo 4

are there any rumors on this?

@Bayesian "Before May 2026" can resolve NO