When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
45
2.5kṀ13k
2026
2%
Before 2026
3%
Before February 2026
6%
Before March 2026
9%
Before April 2026
11%
Before May 2026
12%
Before June 2026
19%
Before July 2026
21%
Before August 2026
27%
Before September 2026
32%
Before October 2026
44%
Before November 2026
50%
Before December 2026
59%
Before 2027
64%
Before February 2027
69%
Before March 2027
72%
Before April 2027
74%
Before May 2027
79%
Before June 2027
83%
Before July 2027
83%
Before August 2027

Minor changes to the name, such as using "GPT-6-mini" instead of "GPT-6", are acceptable when determining the release. Also, any major new iteration past GPT-5 generally expected to be called GPT-6, counts.

To count as released, the model must be accessible to some members of the public outside OpenAI (a closed beta doesn't count). If it is available through some API only this counts as a release.

See also:

/Bayesian/when-will-google-release-gemini-3

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-5

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6 (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4

/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp

/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-their-next

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-sora-2

/Bayesian/when-will-thinking-machines-announc

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boughtṀ20 YES

@256 what's up

I think their router model means gpt-5 is much more modular now. If there's a new paradigm that emerges suddenly over the next 18 months they can just switch in a new module for that to keep gpt-5 going

bought Ṁ3 YES

my instinct is it won't take >2 years this time, but I thought this after GPT-4 too.

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