When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
9
2.5kṀ3074
2026
1%
Before 2026
6%
Before February 2026
7%
Before March 2026
12%
Before April 2026
12%
Before May 2026
11%
Before June 2026
14%
Before July 2026
18%
Before August 2026
16%
Before September 2026
19%
Before October 2026
24%
Before November 2026
50%
Before December 2026
50%
Before 2027
55%
Before February 2027
55%
Before March 2027
55%
Before April 2027
55%
Before May 2027
55%
Before June 2027
55%
Before July 2027
55%
Before August 2027

Minor changes to the name, such as using "GPT-6-mini" instead of "GPT-6", are acceptable when determining the release. Also, any major new iteration past GPT-5 generally expected to be called GPT-6, counts.

To count as released, the model must be accessible to some members of the public outside OpenAI (a closed beta doesn't count). If it is available through some API only this counts as a release.

See also:

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-announce-o4-full

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4

/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225

/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6 (this market)

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