Llama 5 (Meta) release
18
1.3kṀ5402
2026
7%
Before December 2025
10%
Before January 2026
19%
Before February 2026
28%
Before March 2026
36%
Before April 2026
40%
Before May 2026
45%
Before June 2026
49%
Before July 2026
52%
Before August 2026

Minor changes to the name, such as using "Llama 5 Mini" or "Llama 5.0", will count for the purpose of this market

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Llama 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups.

See also:

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-5

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6

/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4

/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4

/Bayesian/when-will-moonshot-release-kimi-k3

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-their-next

/Bayesian/when-will-thinking-machines-announc

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