This market refers to OpenAI's next open-weight model release, regardless of what it is ultimately named. Minor naming changes from the working name 'GPT-OSS' will count.
The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
See also:
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@Bayesian i'll bet when u vote https://manifold.markets/jim/straight-mens-would-you-date-a-tran?r=amlt