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MANIFOLD
Gemini 3.5 (Google) release date
56
Ṁ1kṀ21k
resolved May 20
Resolved
NO
Before January 2026
Resolved
NO
Before February 2026
Resolved
NO
Before March 2026
Resolved
NO
Before April 2026
Resolved
NO
Before May 2026
Resolved
YES
Before September 2026
Resolved
YES
Before August 2026
Resolved
YES
Before July 2026
Resolved
YES
Before June 2026

Minor changes to the name, such as 'Gemini 3.6', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Gemini 3.5, will count for the purpose of this market.

The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.

See also:

Grok 5 (xAI) release date

Gemini 3.2 (Google) release date

Gemini 3.5 (Google) release date (this market)

Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date

GPT 5.5 (OpenAI) release date

GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date

Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date

Claude Mythos (Anthropic) release date

V4 (DeepSeek) release date

R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date

Llama 5 (Meta) release date

Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date

Kimi K3 (Moonshot) release date

GLM 5.5 (Z.ai) release date

M3 (Minimax) release date

Gemma 4 (Google) release date

OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date

Thinking Machines' first LLM announcement date

Veo 4 (Google) release date

New image / video "Mango" model (Meta) release date

'Avocado' LLM (Meta) release date

Market context
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so hang on, when are we getting gemini 3.5 pro?

@0xseraphim nexxxxxt month

@Bayesian is there a market specifically for gemini 3.5 pro?

@Bayesian I'll make it if you give me 100 mana

@0xseraphim they announced during i/o 2026 that they would release 3.5 pro next month

@Bayesian Resolves NO