GLM 5 (Z.ai) release date
8
1kṀ2348
Sep 1
3%
Before February 2026
25%
Before March 2026
48%
Before April 2026
82%
Before May 2026
84%
Before June 2026
84%
Before July 2026
84%
Before August 2026
90%
Before September 2026

Minor changes to the name, such as using "GLM-5-fast" or "GLM 5 Pro" or other names for a model generally expected to be called GLM 5, will count for the purpose of this market.

To count as released, the model must be accessible to some members of the public outside Z.ai. If it's banned in some country, this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this also counts as a release.

See also:

/Bayesian/grok-42-xai-release

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-5

/Bayesian/gemini-35-google-release-date

/Bayesian/gpt55-openai-release-date

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6

/Bayesian/claude-46-anthropic-release-date

/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp

/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4

/Bayesian/when-will-moonshot-release-kimi-k3

/Bayesian/glm-5-zai-release-date (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-their-next

/Bayesian/when-will-thinking-machines-announc

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy