Would you rather get a million dollars, or have all countries become democratic and peaceful for the next 50 years?
19
146
390
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES

Buy Yes if you would get a million dollars

Buy No if you would get world peace for the next 50 years

This is the poll result on Reddit

Let's see the response of the Manifold Market Community

[Edit: this market resolved to Yes at closing. People who buy No would lose their tiny investment in this market]

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bought Ṁ100 of YES

I would rather have the democracy thing but OP said this would resolve to yes. I will donate 100% of the proceeds to a charity that promotes peace and/or democracy.

How does this market resolve?

@IsaacKing You care about how the market resolved more than world peace?

@AmmonLam you can't give me world peace but you can stop putting fake markets on the home page.

@MartinRandall What’s a fake market?

I thought there’s plenty of markets on Manifold that simply gauge the opinions of people

@IsaacKing Edited the description

@AmmonLam @IsaacKing And now it's a missing title market and subject to delisting.

Misleading

@MartinRandall You’re entitled to your opinion.

I enjoy the variety of markets in Manifold, especially the experimental ones. If I only want to see well defined markets with objective resolution, I can find it else where.

bought Ṁ127 of YES

@AmmonLam This is not a useful way to poll people, because they have no incentive to vote according to their true beliefs, and quite a good incentive to not do so; the incentive of not losing their mana. For an example of a way to run polls that let people spend more mana to express a stronger belief, see the structure I tested out here.

@IsaacKing Interesting. If Manifold were to implement the functionality for a no reward non-refundable market it would be more direct that what’s your trying to accomplish.

@AmmonLam You can just create a market that resolves N/A to poll people

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