Will the world be more democratic in 2045?
16
1kṀ5442040
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes or no based on a broad consensus based on a combination of trusted democracy indexes and vibes.
Resolves n/a otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the democracy score for the United States significantly decrease by the end of 2025?
59% chance
Will the world become more authoritarian in 2024?
79% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2040?
85% chance
Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
85% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2050?
82% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2035?
89% chance
Will China have true democracy in 2040?
14% chance
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
6% chance
Will China be a democracy in 2050?
24% chance
Will China have true democracy in 2050?
35% chance