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MANIFOLD
Which country will democratize the most in the 2020s?
6
Ṁ360Ṁ259
2030
12%
Taiwan
14%
Montenegro
7%
Greece
11%
Zambia
13%
Poland
7%
India
7%
Moldova
30%
Other

This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES to the one country whose overall democracy score difference between 2029 and 2019 is most positive (i.e. the 2029 score minus the 2019 score).

As of the 2023 report, the five countries that have democratized the most in the 2020s so far are (i.e. 2023 scores compared to 2019 scores):

  1. Taiwan (+1.19)

  2. Montenegro (+1.02)

  3. Greece (+0.71)

  4. Zambia (+0.71)

  5. Poland (+0.56)

For reference, here are the countries that democratized the most for previous 10-year periods of the Democracy Index, which began in 2006 (all data taken from Wikipedia's table of Democracy Index scores):

Feel free to add answers that are covered by the Democracy Index.

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