Will there be a peaceful transfer of power in any African country in the next six months?
12
41
250
Feb 3
89%
chance

Several African countries are slated to hold elections in the next six months. This market will resolve to YES if one of these elections results in a president or prime minister from a different political party and the transfer of power is reasonably peaceful (ie no large-scale political violence, <100 deaths of peaceful protests and no armed fighting).

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