Will there be a peaceful transfer of power in any African country in the next six months?
12
250Ṁ210Feb 3
89%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Several African countries are slated to hold elections in the next six months. This market will resolve to YES if one of these elections results in a president or prime minister from a different political party and the transfer of power is reasonably peaceful (ie no large-scale political violence, <100 deaths of peaceful protests and no armed fighting).
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