Will there be a peaceful transfer of power in any African country in the next six months?
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12
Ṁ210Feb 3
89%
chance
1D
1W
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ALL
Several African countries are slated to hold elections in the next six months. This market will resolve to YES if one of these elections results in a president or prime minister from a different political party and the transfer of power is reasonably peaceful (ie no large-scale political violence, <100 deaths of peaceful protests and no armed fighting).
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