The "Famous Person" Dashboard
Ṁ10k
Will a famous person bet on this market?
40% chance
1.2%
On or before Feb 22, 2026
3%
On or before Feb 23, 2026
5%
On or before Feb 24, 2026
9%
On or before Feb 25, 2026
21%
It trades above 90% for at least one continuous hour before closing
20%
Closes between 20% and 80% at the listed close time
16%
It trades below 10% for at least one continuous hour before closing
13%
@CrypticQccZ is a collaborator of a famous person who bets (revealed before Mar 15 (PT))
0.6%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
2%
Aella
3%
CGPGrey
94%