🏅 Top traders

who is the famous person ?

@Gugra Here's the docier.

@Quroe ok fair enough

Does the famous person want to -DATE- me?

What about other market?

@KevinBlaw i assure you, no

@MattCWilson have mana. Will pay. Would.

@KevinBlaw my FP is not that sort of FP. Sorry Mario, your princess is in another castle. 🤷

Josh Wilson's 8 years in MLB - including my Seattle Mariners (go m's) - definitely qualifies as "famous". I know Wiki page count was the arbiter but I'm glad it wasn't some obscure Wiki-related loophole.

Also, @jwils350 really slow played us lol

@LukeW somebody get him the verified badge cc @Gen

@Stralor Does he want to be verified? I saw the video, but he also used an alias (kinda, I mean, jwils). I'm satisfied that I can verify them but if he wants to stay unverified that's ok too. Unsure if I should just pop it on or not, most people won't know what the verified badge is for as the username isn't really tied to a specific identity

Was fun watching the market play out!

I've asked him, dunno if he's gotten back to anyone. Is there someone I could have him DM? He's literally one week new on Manifold 🤣 not sure if he's taken it in enough to have a strong opinion on that.

I'm not convinced. How do we know he didn't authorize the bet on his behalf? Do we have photographic proof of the wager?

@KevinBlaw also who is the famous person?

@KevinBlaw See this comment chain. https://manifold.markets/ItsMe/will-a-famous-person-bet-on-this-ma-s6hE6Ih5Lt#zdhv0yt7u5q

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Josh_Wilson_%28baseball%29?wprov=sfla1

https://youtu.be/jeLLQMdIiy0?feature=shared

@Quroe Objection withdrawn.

@Quroe incredible moment for manifold lol

@No_uh I'm really hoping everybody treats him nicely here and that he sticks around. It seems like he's exploring the concept of prediction markets, and I feel this is a very unique first experience for most people. I intend to profit share with him.

so sad, i wanted it to be nate silver or something

Are we deferring to @ItsMe to resolve this? The following market seems to sign post as them being out of office.

/ItsMe/will-i-get-it-together

@mods We strategically timed our reveal to be less more than 48 hours before closing in case you all needed to take over or demand more proof.

@Quroe @EvanDaniel I think we can just resolve this YES, right?

@bens I'll put my (true) reputation on the line and say I'm fully convinced this is a YES.

I expect this will be resolved by mods.

To speed that up someone could write up more formally the proof of exactly why it should resolve YES (since those following this closely might have positions). But that’s only if there’s a rush for resolution

@Ziddletwix they uploaded a video that contains proof: https://youtu.be/jeLLQMdIiy0?feature=shared

Wiki page with 1k words for the bettor:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Josh_Wilson_%28baseball%29?wprov=sfla1

Josh Wilson (baseball) - Wikipedia

I also personally performed some analysis on the Wikipedia page, even with strict interpretations of what it means for something to count as a word, it still is definitely over 1k. Also nobody edited the page since December, so no chance of vandalism argument.

The famous account is @jwils350

@Cactus This is the kind of market manipulation that I'm actually okay with.