Santos' Special Election

100%99.7%

Democrat

0.2%

Republican

0.0%

Santos vacates the seat late enough that there is no special election

0.0%

Santos completes his term

Margin of victory in New York House special election on 2/13? (George Santos’s seat)

100%96%

6.0-7.9 points

0.4%

Less than 2.0 points

0.4%

2.0-3.9 points

0.5%

4.0-5.9 points

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#Politics

#US Politics

#Santos Special Election

When will AP call the NY-3 special election to replace George Santos?

Resolved

YES

Before 11pm

Resolved

YES

Before 12 midnight

Resolved

YES

Before 1am Wed

Resolved

YES

Before 6am Wed

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#Santos Special Election

ABC News

Why the election to replace George Santos is so competitive

538's preview of the New York 3rd District special election to replace George Santos.

Who will win the election to replace George Santos?

100%84%

Democrat Tom Suozzi, who represented the district before

16%

Republican Mazi Melesa Pilip, a Legislator in Nassau County

#Elections

#George Santos

#2024 US Election

Who will replace George Santos?

100%99.8%

Tom Suozzi (D)

0.0%

[Santos completes the term]

0.0%

George Santos [vacates seat and wins reelection]

0.0%

Austin Cheng (D)

Will a Democrat win the special election for George Santos' seat?YES

Democrat Suozzi wins special election to replace Santos in New York

Tom Suozzi will replace ousted Rep. George Santos in a critical swing district. The Democrat's win narrows the already razor-thin majority for Republicans in the House.

If George Santos leaves Congress in time for there to be a special election for his seat, will it flip parties?YES

#118th Congress

#U.S. Congress

#George Santos

Will a Democrat win the New York 3rd congressional district special election on February 13 2024?YES

#US Congressional Elections 2024

#New York

#2024 US Presidential Election