Resolves YES if a Democratic Party candidate wins the 2024 New York 3rd congressional district special election (George Santos' old seat).
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ142 | |
| 2 | Ṁ28 | |
| 3 | Ṁ25 | |
| 4 | Ṁ18 | |
| 5 | Ṁ17 |
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Suozzi (the Democrat) wins, called by AP: https://apnews.com/article/george-santos-suozzi-pilip-special-election-be0140979ca3050921579e90507bfe1f
I know that Tom Suozzi (the Democratic nominee) would count as a "YES" if he wins,
but what about Mazi Melesa Pilip (the Republican nominee, who's been nominated as a Republican, despite technically being a registered Democrat but still a member of the Republican Caucus)? Does this count as a "NO" or a "YES" if she wins?
@PaintspotInfez I'm guessing most traders expect it to based on the Democratic Party nominee vs the Republican Party nominee. Regardless of what party the candidate is registered as. See other markets that track this one.
Otherwise I'd expect this market to trade much higher (99.5%+) because either Suozzi or Pilip seem likely win :)