If George Santos leaves Congress in time for there to be a special election for his seat, will it flip parties?
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Ṁ14kresolved Feb 14
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This market resolves YES if:
George Santos is removed from the 118th Congress, either by being expelled, resigning, dying, etc.
A special election is held to replace him.
The winner of the special election is not a Republican.
It resolves NO if the first two bullet points are fulfilled, but a Republican wins the special election, and N/A if the first two bullet points are not fulfilled.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Suozzi (the Democrat) wins, called by AP: https://apnews.com/article/george-santos-suozzi-pilip-special-election-be0140979ca3050921579e90507bfe1f