If George Santos leaves Congress in time for there to be a special election for his seat, will it flip parties?
118th CongressU.S. CongressGeorge SantosSantos Special Election
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resolved Feb 14
Resolved
YES

This market resolves YES if:

  • George Santos is removed from the 118th Congress, either by being expelled, resigning, dying, etc.

  • A special election is held to replace him.

  • The winner of the special election is not a Republican.

It resolves NO if the first two bullet points are fulfilled, but a Republican wins the special election, and N/A if the first two bullet points are not fulfilled.

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Suozzi (the Democrat) wins, called by AP: https://apnews.com/article/george-santos-suozzi-pilip-special-election-be0140979ca3050921579e90507bfe1f

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