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Hard Forkasts
Manifold Solves the Drake Equation
Noit
NoitUK
How Many Aliens Does Manifold Think Might We Talk To? Manifold Solves the Drake Equation
100%
42%
101 to 1,000
1.5%
1
11%
2 to 10
2%
11 to 100
See 8 more answers
#
Science
#
Manifold Solves the Drake Equation
#
Aliens
17
Ṁ680
NoitUK
How many stars are formed per average year in the Milky Way?
15%
0 to 1
Yes
No
6%
1 to 2
Yes
No
2%
2 to 3
Yes
No
2%
3 to 4
Yes
No
See 7 more answers
#
Manifold Solves the Drake Equation
#
Science
#
Aliens
14
Ṁ1.1k
NoitUK
What percentage of Milky Way stars have >0 planets?
74%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Manifold Solves the Drake Equation
#
Science
#
Aliens
27
Ṁ510
NoitUK
On average, how many potentially-life-supporting planets orbit a star with >0 planets?
69%
0 to 1
Yes
No
7%
1 to 2
Yes
No
4%
2 to 3
Yes
No
6%
3 to 4
Yes
No
See 8 more answers
#
Manifold Solves the Drake Equation
#
Science
#
Aliens
24
Ṁ940
NoitUK
What percentage of potentially-life-supporting planets develop life at some point?
20%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Manifold Solves the Drake Equation
#
Science
#
Aliens
41
Ṁ770
NoitUK
What percentage of planets with life will develop intelligent life (civilisation)?
9%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Manifold Solves the Drake Equation
#
Science
#
Aliens
20
Ṁ390
NoitUK
What percentage of alien civilisations will broadcast their existence into space?
42%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
#
Aliens
#
Manifold Solves the Drake Equation
#
Science
25
Ṁ470
NoitUK
How long will alien civilisations broadcast their existence into space?
3%
1 to 100 years
Yes
No
10%
100 to 1,000 years
Yes
No
14%
1,000 to 10,000 years
Yes
No
64%
10,000 to 100,000 years
Yes
No
See 4 more answers
#
Aliens
#
Manifold Solves the Drake Equation
#
Science
24
Ṁ820
NoitUK
How Many Aliens Does Manifold Think Might We Talk To? Manifold Solves the Drake Equation
100%
60%
1,001 to 10,000
4%
1
7%
2 to 10
7%
11 to 100
See 7 more answers
#
Manifold Solves the Drake Equation
#
Aliens
#
Science
9
Ṁ810
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