On average, how many potentially-life-supporting planets orbit a star with >0 planets?
ScienceAliensManifold Solves the Drake Equation
Mini
24
Ṁ721
2026
69%
0 to 1
7%
1 to 2
4%
2 to 3
6%
3 to 4
3%
4 to 5
1.7%
5 to 6
1.7%
6 to 7
1.7%
7 to 8
1.7%
8 to 9
1.7%
9 to 10
1.6%
10 to 100
1.3%
100 to 1000

This market will be used to calculate ne for the Manifold Solves the Drake Equation project. You can read more about the Drake Equation [here](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation).

This market is intended to not resolve and functions as a stock ticker tracking the current scientific consensus. It will close intermittently to allow for easy tracking of project and reopen once recordings are taken. If a solid scientific consensus is held over a significant period of time (multiple decades) then it may resolve to the percentage of that consensus.

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Let's not forget that planets are not the only places that fit the criteria for life to develop. Moons are also valid.

Results of this market will be used here at first closure:

https://manifold.markets/Noit/how-many-aliens-does-manifold-think?r=Tm9pdA

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