How many stars are formed per average year in the Milky Way?
14
1.1kṀ4398
2026
15%
0 to 1
6%
1 to 2
2%
2 to 3
2%
3 to 4
4%
4 to 5
15%
5 to 6
17%
6 to 7
15%
8 to 9
4%
9 to 10
4%
10 to 100
15%
100 to 1,000

This market will be used to calculate R∗ for the Manifold Solves the Drake Equation project. You can read more about the Drake Equation here.

This market is intended to not resolve and functions as a stock ticker tracking the current scientific consensus. It will close intermittently to allow for easy tracking of project and reopen once recordings are taken. If a solid scientific consensus is held over a significant period of time (multiple decades) then it may resolve to that consensus.

Note: due to an error at point of creation, this market is missing a “7 to 8” option. If the answer is ever definitively settled to be in this range, the market will resolve to N/A.

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