What percentage of alien civilisations will broadcast their existence into space?
25
1kṀ948
2026
42%
chance

This market will be used to calculate fc for the Manifold Solves the Drake Equation project. You can read more about the Drake Equation [here](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation).

Buy YES to increase percentage and NO to decrease percentage. 100% indicates all civilisations will broadcast their existence into space, 0% indicates no civilisations will broadcast their existence into space.

This market is intended to not resolve and functions as a stock ticker tracking the current scientific consensus. It will close intermittently to allow for easy tracking of project and reopen once recordings are taken. If a solid scientific consensus is held over a significant period of time (multiple decades) then it may resolve to the percentage of that consensus.

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