Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on June 1, 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, when accessed by Metaculus on June 1, 2024, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) map shows the coordinates 48°35'13.7"N 37°50'02.1"E as under any of the following categories:

• Assessed Russian Advance in Ukraine

• Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours

• Assessed Russian Control

• Claimed Russian Territory in Ukraine

• Any other categories created by ISW that indicate Russian control of the location

The question will resolve as No if the location is not assessed to be in any of the categories indicating Russian control, which includes but is not limited to:

• Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours

• Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives

• Reported Ukrainian Partisan Warfare

• Any other categories created by ISW that indicate Ukrainian control of the location or a lack of Russian control of the location

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.