Will Russia control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2033?
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69
295
2033
86%
chance

Resolves as YES if Russia controls Vladivostok on January 1st 2033

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I think a lot of people are voting on whether it will be seized by China, but if Russia fractures into different countries how will this resolve? I'd suggest requiring that the country that contains Vladivostok has Moscow as its national capitol.

@Jwags I'll give it some thought, think there's many plausible scenarios