Will the US have large-scale rioting?

Ordered chronologically.

Some trigger off 5,000+ people and some trigger off 10,000+ people, so check description before predicting.

Plus

[Metaculus] Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?5% chance

Plus

Will the US see a large-scale riot by the end of 2024?3% chance

Basic

Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2025?2% chance

Plus

Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?33% chance

Basic

[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?60% chance

Plus

Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036?90% chance

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