Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036?
21
1kṀ1016
2036
90%
chance

Same resolution criteria as:

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

If there is the same resolution criteria as the 2026 market, then the title doesn't matter. Odds should be the same.

@MaybeNotDepends Using the "same" rules when you don't mean it is just laziness and bad market rules writing.

@MaybeNotDepends the market is perfectly clear, you are being intentionally obtuse in an ironically failed attempt at pedantry

Would summer 2020 have counted?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules