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Hard Forkasts
NYC
Andy Martin
Andy Martin
Plus
Will Eric Adams complete his current term in office as NYC Mayor?
20%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
89
Ṁ1035
Andy Martin
Plus
Who will win the 2025 New York City (NYC) mayoral election?
5%
Eric Adams
Yes
No
Open options
95%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
28
Ṁ1000
capablemonkey
Plus
Will Congestion Pricing in NYC be enforced by the end of 2024?
1%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
115
Ṁ2000
Alana
Basic
Will the NYPD call another Level Four mobilization in response to an event in NYC before EOY 2023?
NO
10
Ṁ210
Andy Martin
Basic
When will New York City's "Right to Shelter" laws be suspended?
100%
19%
Sometime in 2024
Open options
36%
Sometime in 2023
Open options
17%
Sometime in 2025
Open options
29%
Not before 2026
Open options
7
Ṁ255
Andy Martin
Basic
Between April 2022 and the end of 2025, how many people will seek asylum in New York City (NYC)?
8%
100,000-199,999
Yes
No
Open options
47%
200,000-299,999
Yes
No
Open options
32%
300,000-399,999
Yes
No
Open options
6%
400,000-499,999
Yes
No
Open options
See 1 more answer
6
Ṁ260
Andy Martin
Plus
Will Kathy Hochul complete her current term in office as Governor of NY?
92%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
21
Ṁ1000
Andy Martin
Basic
Who will win the 2026 New York state gubernatorial election?
32%
Kathy Hochul
Yes
No
Open options
68%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
9
Ṁ225
mr.ice
Basic
Will the AQI in New York City reach hazardous levels (>300) in 2023?
NO
20
Ṁ390
Infinite ergodicity
Basic
Will PM2.5 levels of NYC in 2025 be higher than those in 2022?
41%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
6
Ṁ150
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