Will Eric Adams complete his current term in office as NYC Mayor?
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2026
78%
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bought Ṁ30 of NO

F.B.I. Seizes Eric Adams’s Phones as Campaign Investigation Intensifies: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/10/nyregion/adams-fbi-investigation-phones.html

bought Ṁ20 NO from 53% to 50%

Dashboard of other NYC-related markets: https://manifold.markets/dashboard/nyc

Let me know if anyone has suggestions for others to add!

bought Ṁ10 NO from 58% to 56%
predicts NO

@AndyMartin The raid was almost certainly timed to occur during the highly publicized migrant crisis meeting at the White House. Adam's reaction to the raid, abandoning the meeting to rush back to NYC, speaks volumes given that it is a terrible look.

bought Ṁ50 of YES

Based on the available information, there is currently no definitive evidence that suggests New York City Mayor Eric Adams will not complete his term, which is set to end on January 1, 2026. To date, there are no major scandals, legal issues, health concerns, or personal problems reported that might cause him to step down before his term ends. However, it is noted that he's facing criticism and challenges during his mayoralty.

Some Background From The Web

Has Eric Adams faced any major scandal or controversy since he took office?
Politico
PBS

Will Eric Adams complete his current term in office as NYC Mayor?
Politico
Ballotpedia

Are there any legal, health, or personal issues that might compel Eric Adams to step down before his term ends?
Reuters
The New Yorker