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๐ซ ๐บ๐ธ What will the voter turnout be if Biden wins?
Basic
1
แน300Nov 6
1D
1W
1M
ALL
50%
Biden doesn't win
37%
<= 49% voter turnout, Biden wins
37%
>= 50% voter turnout, Biden wins
37%
<= 55% voter turnout, Biden wins
37%
>= 60% voter turnout, Biden wins
37%
<= 67% voter turnout, Biden wins
37%
>= 74% voter turnout, Biden wins
Voter turnout in the 2020 US presidential election was the highest it has been in any presidential election since the 19th century. Even still, about as many people didn't vote at all as voted for Joe Biden (81 million). Thus, as we predict "who will win the electoral college" and "who will win the popular vote", we're also implicitly predicting who will vote.
Can we predict the voter turnout that will propel Joe Biden to victory ?
What about the voter turnout % that will play out if Trump wins?
Note: options are independent, because turnout could resolve to multiple (eg less than 49% and less than 55%), even though some options are mutually exclusive, for example if Biden DOESNโT win all other options resolve NO.
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๐ ๐บ๐ธ What will the voter turnout be if Trump wins?
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