If anyone but Biden is the Democratic Party nominee, will they win the election?
288
5.3kṀ140kresolved Nov 6
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
Someone else is the nominee and loses
0.4%
Biden is the nominee
0.6%
Someone else is the nominee and wins
According to a poll which ran in January:
Among registered voters, Biden and Trump were tied on 40% were the election to be held today. However, 'A Democrat other than Joe Biden' was ahead of Trump by 44% to 38%.
If Biden steps aside, will the Democratic Party pick someone who can win the election?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ8,079 | |
| 2 | Ṁ2,865 | |
| 3 | Ṁ1,814 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1,614 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1,312 |
People are also trading
Related questions
If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?
Conditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election?
Who would win the US Presidential Election, if they were the Democratic Party nominee in 2028?