Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 64% or larger?
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resolved Dec 26
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NO

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good grief

Is this as a share of Voting Age Population or Voting Eligible Population? See https://www.electproject.org/election-data/faq/vap-v-vap

@ChristopherRandles I wasn't in this market, so I'm indifferent. But FWIW it's still very possible that as UF Election Lab incorporates more data, the Voting Eligible Pop vote share will break 64%. UFEL has 8,025,326 total votes for NY (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/2024-general-election-turnout/), but Dave Leip has 8,300,211 (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/), and that's just the most glaring discrepancy at a glance.

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