What will voter turnout be in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
115
5.2kṀ57k
resolved Feb 7
Resolved
YES
More than 129,085,410 (the turnout of the 2012 election)
Resolved
YES
More than 131,313,820 (the turnout of the 2008 election)
Resolved
YES
More than 136,669,276 (the turnout of the 2016 election)
Resolved
YES
More than 140M
Resolved
YES
More than 142M
Resolved
YES
More than 144M
Resolved
YES
More than 146M
Resolved
YES
More than 148M
Resolved
YES
More than 150M
Resolved
YES
More than 152M
Resolved
YES
More than 154M
Resolved
NO
More than 185M
Resolved
NO
More than 180M
Resolved
NO
More than 178M
Resolved
NO
More than 176M
Resolved
NO
More than 174M
Resolved
NO
More than 172M
Resolved
NO
More than 170M
Resolved
NO
More than 168M
Resolved
NO
More than 166M
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@mods remainder should resolve NO, thanks!

@Tripping last one can resolve no?

@creator Leip says 155.5 million. Remainder can resolve? Thanks!

reposted

Please resolve for 154M.

sold Ṁ254 YES

@creator can some of the lower ones be resolved early? Both Dave Leip (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/national.php) and the New York Times (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president.html) have turnout over 151 million already.

bought Ṁ648 YES

@polymathematic I've made Dave Leip the resolution criteria

Can someone clarify which states have tightened or loosened voter registration regulations since the 2020 election? And also things like mail-in voting, early voting, etc.? Surely the result of this market depends on those types of changes.

2020 was an absolutely historic year for turnout by American standards. It was the highest percent since the South clamped down on voting restrictions around 1900. And the voting eligible population is growing as slowly as ever.

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