What will voter turnout be in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Standard
99
แน€11k
2026
97%
More than 129,085,410 (the turnout of the 2012 election)
96%
More than 131,313,820 (the turnout of the 2008 election)
96%
More than 136,669,276 (the turnout of the 2016 election)
94%
More than 140M
96%
More than 142M
92%
More than 144M
89%
More than 146M
90%
More than 148M
89%
More than 150M
81%
More than 152M
71%
More than 154M
59%
More than 156M
53%
More than 158,429,631 (the turnout of the 2020 election)
39%
More than 160M
34%
More than 162M
18%
More than 164M
15%
More than 166M
9%
More than 168M
9%
More than 170M
9%
More than 172M

Resolution will be based on the popular vote total for the office of the presidency from the Federal Election Commission report that comes out after the election.

Numbers for the 2008, 2012, 2016, and 2020 elections are based on the FEC reports that followed those elections:

2020: https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/federalelections2020.pdf

2016: https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/federalelections2016.pdf
2012: https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/federalelections2012.pdf
2008: https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/federalelections2008.pdf

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Can someone clarify which states have tightened or loosened voter registration regulations since the 2020 election? And also things like mail-in voting, early voting, etc.? Surely the result of this market depends on those types of changes.

2020 was an absolutely historic year for turnout by American standards. It was the highest percent since the South clamped down on voting restrictions around 1900. And the voting eligible population is growing as slowly as ever.