Will voter turnout in the 2024 US Presidential Election exceed 65%?
130
1kṀ27k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Voter turnout is a key indicator of public engagement and interest in the electoral process. In recent U.S. presidential elections, voter turnout has varied significantly, with a notable increase in 2020 where turnout reached about 66.8%, the highest in over a century. Factors influencing turnout include voter registration laws, campaign strategies, political polarization, and public interest in the candidates and issues at stake.

Details:

  • Historical Context: The U.S. has seen fluctuating voter turnout rates, with the 2020 election setting a high benchmark.

  • Factors to Consider: Changes in voter laws, the impact of new voting technologies, social movements, and the popularity of the candidates.

  • Data Sources: Historical voter turnout data, current voter registration statistics, and polling data.

    Update:
    This market will resolve in mid-December once the election count is finalised. The source of truth will be according to the figures from https://election.lab.ufl.edu/2024-general-election-turnout/.

    If the election count is not finalised by the end of the year, we will resolve anyways to the figure on the source at 23:59 PST 31st December.

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