NASA plans the first moon landing since Apollo in December 2025. The missions success is dependent on a Starship Human Landing System which will bring the astronauts to the surface and then back up to Orion. Any chance they stay on schedule?
This market should presumably be (ever so slightly) lower than
https://manifold.markets/Treldman/will-there-be-a-new-human-moon-land
@EvanDaniel Yup and the other 4 near identical markets. Here's a complete list.
Multiple choice:
/plsdelete/when-will-humans-set-foot-on-the-mo
/JosephNoonan/when-will-the-next-moon-landing-occ
<2025:
/levifinkelstein/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-by-th
/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-97aac7e1ff3b
/TobiasSowaaed/will-a-human-mission-successfully-l
<2026:
/Treldman/will-there-be-a-new-human-moon-land
/BoltonBailey/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon
/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-f11b40742c45
/wadimiusz/by-the-start-of-2026-will-any-human
/Jack_Rose/will-a-country-put-another-flag-on
/JohnChristou/will-nasa-and-spacex-succeed-with-i
<2027:
/TobiasSowaaed/will-a-human-mission-successfully-l-7fdd8a8e8033
/Odoacre/will-a-human-astronaut-land-on-the
/ChadwickMiller/will-astronauts-walk-on-the-moon-be
<2028:
/StanPinsent/will-a-human-land-on-the-moon-by-20
/jack/will-a-human-land-on-the-moon-befor
2028 or later:
/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again
/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-2fc067c3b7fb
/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-6204f804eafd