Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2025?

60

Ṁ1.1kṀ26k

resolved Jan 2

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If NASA announces that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon before December 31, 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.

Else, the market resolves to No.

Market context

Artemis program

Artemis 3 / Human Moon Landing

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bought Ṁ2,458 NO

@AmmonLam the close date on this market is off by a year

https://kalshi.com/markets/moon/moon-landing (identical market description)

Is the close date a mistake?

<2025:

/levifinkelstein/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-by-th

/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-97aac7e1ff3b

<2026:

/Treldman/will-there-be-a-new-human-moon-land

/BoltonBailey/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon

/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-f11b40742c45

/wadimiusz/by-the-start-of-2026-will-any-human

Later:

/Odoacre/will-a-human-astronaut-land-on-the

/StanPinsent/will-a-human-land-on-the-moon-by-20

/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again

/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-2fc067c3b7fb

Doubtful IMO: https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/11/the-oracle-who-predicted-slss-launch-in-2023-has-thoughts-about-artemis-iii/amp/

Artemis 3 is not scheduled to launch until 2025. Space missions almost never happen ahead of schedule.

@Yev Wait a moment. 1969 is technically "before December 31, 2024".

predictedYES

@Yev okay, fair point

https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-f11b40742c45

Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2025?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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Related questions

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