
Which of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2025?
26
แน1kแน14kresolved Jan 2
Resolved
YESBlue Ghost M1
Resolved
YESIM-2
Resolved
NOHakuto-R 2
Resolved
NOGriffin Mission 1
Resolved
NOBeresheet 2
Resolved
NOIM-3
Resolved
NOBlue Moon MK1
Resolved
NOStarship HLS
Successfully land = transmit data from the surface
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
๐ Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน198 | |
| 2 | แน166 | |
| 3 | แน159 | |
| 4 | แน108 | |
| 5 | แน101 |
People are also trading
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2026?
Will a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
2% chance
Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon?
Who will be the next person to land on the moon?
Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2026?
1% chance
Which country will have landed the most of its citizens on the moon by 2075?
Who lands on the Moon next?
Will a Japanese astronaut land on Moon by 2035?
65% chance
Will SpaceX or Blue Origin conduct or be contracted to conduct a private lunar landing before 2035?
73% chance
Will Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
Sort by:
bought แน50 NO
IM-3 is targeting NET 2026
@JussiVilleHeiskanen Not transmitting from the surface... but by the current metric even if all of its legs have broken and just the top is transmitting, still would count
@ScipioFabius apparently they do not have Quasonix, their telemetry, but are communicating though control channel, fwiw
@ScipioFabius but if it is upside down so it's transmitting antenna can't send in the right direction, and the have to rely on the control radio?
People are also trading
Related questions
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2026?
Will a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
2% chance
Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon?
Who will be the next person to land on the moon?
Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2026?
1% chance
Which country will have landed the most of its citizens on the moon by 2075?
Who lands on the Moon next?
Will a Japanese astronaut land on Moon by 2035?
65% chance
Will SpaceX or Blue Origin conduct or be contracted to conduct a private lunar landing before 2035?
73% chance
Will Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?