Will SpaceX put their HLS lander on the Moon by end of 2025?
20
1kṀ12kDec 31
1%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For the HLS development & service contract, SpaceX added a demonstration mission of landing their Starship-based HLS in advance of Artemis III. If they manage to put a Starship demonstration vehicle on the lunar surface by the end of 2025, this resolves YES, even for a crash.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will SpaceX manage to deliver the Starship on time in 2025 according to its agreement with NASA?
19% chance
Which of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2025?
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2027?
15% chance
Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars?
82% chance
Will NASA's Artemis program land astronauts on the moon by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land a crewed mission on Mars by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2026?
1% chance
Will there be a new human moon landing by the end of 2025?
1% chance
When will SpaceX land on the moon?
Will SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?
70% chance