Will any of the (in)famous AI markets resolve in favour of AI hype?
24
1kṀ1799
2100
84%
chance

This resolves YES if any of the top 10 most popular AI markets resolve YES. Here they are:

https://manifold.markets/MatthewBarnett/will-ai-be-a-major-topic-during-the

https://manifold.markets/PeterHro%C5%A1%C5%A1o/will-ai-outcompete-best-humans-in-c-c91105439712

https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-ai-be-at-least-as-big

https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat

https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener

https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-d8733b2114a8

https://manifold.markets/JamesDillard/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th

https://manifold.markets/dreev/will-ai-pass-the-turing-test-by-202

https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-the-leftright-culture-war-come

https://manifold.markets/Nostradamnedus/will-a-text-prompt-based-ai-music-g

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bought Ṁ400 YES

Seems like >80%, given the IMO stuff.

predictedNO

The AIs are the ones betting no and the humans are the ones betting yes. Really makes you think…

predictedNO

Acceleration is my only friend ;-;

@ItsMe "Nothing ever happens" - but ten nothings? Nah.

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