a lot of valuations in the market are high by historical standards. most pundits agree that this is due to strong believes about the value of AI and the promises of AGI. A "crash" is understood to be a more than 15% downward correction in the market within a week where the Economist (as proxy for good punditry) writes that this is mostly or exclusively due to changing believes in AI and AI-fuelled valuations.
1,000@life Two main options (as I see it) are to either:
Change the '2030' option to be 'Not before 2030' in order to include all dates from 2030 onwards (as well as the world where there's no crash) - but that could unfairly short-change people who've already traded (can ping existing traders to check if anyone objects)
Or commit to resolving N/A if there's no crash by EOY 2030, and update the criteria to reflect this
Could also just N/A this market now and create a new one but that seems excessive imo
Hi, it seems there is a problem with the way you have set this market up. You have set it up as dependent, which means that one and only one of the options must resolve as yes. However this is not possible, if the crash happens on say 2031, or fails to materialize. Do you see the problem?