When will the AI bubble crash?

225Ṁ255

2030

April 17, 2027

ALL

12%

Jan-Mar 2026

15%

Apr-Jun 2026

24%

Jul-Sep 2026

13%

Oct-Dec 2026

15%

2027

2028

2029

2030

a lot of valuations in the market are high by historical standards. most pundits agree that this is due to strong believes about the value of AI and the promises of AGI. A "crash" is understood to be a more than 15% downward correction in the market within a week where the Economist (as proxy for good punditry) writes that this is mostly or exclusively due to changing believes in AI and AI-fuelled valuations.

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Oh I didn't realise thanks. I thought it would always then default to having a baseline option of "none-of-the-above". I'll see if I can fix this? Probably too late though, right? Thanks for pointing this out, I spent literally 2 min on this and didn't bother to read any of the docs.

bought Ṁ1 YES

Hi, it seems there is a problem with the way you have set this market up. You have set it up as dependent, which means that one and only one of the options must resolve as yes. However this is not possible, if the crash happens on say 2031, or fails to materialize. Do you see the problem?