Is the leaked OpenAI GPT-4.5 screenshot real?
42
658
850
resolved Dec 14
Resolved
NO

This screenshot, listing OpenAI's pricing for a new GPT-4.5 model, was posted to Reddit early this morning:

https://old.reddit.com/r/OpenAI/comments/18i5n29/anyone_hear_of_gpt45_drop_today/

It describes GPT-4.5 as "our most advanced model brings multi-modal capabilities across language, audio, vision, video, and 3D, alongside complex reasoning and cross-modal understanding".

It has been widely shared by prominent Twitter accounts (eg. here: https://twitter.com/bindureddy/status/1735326167388037148), saying GPT-4.5 was about to release.

This market resolves YES if this pricing page, or a substantially similar one, is posted publicly by OpenAI within thirty days (by Jan. 13 2024). Otherwise, it resolves NO. If no model named GPT-4.5 is released within thirty days, it resolves NO.

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Resolving this as NO based on Altman's explicit denial.

https://twitter.com/sama/status/1735422206296088950?t=bfOw_Jos_ZEM2yZPqcD1DA&s=19

bought Ṁ109 of NO
bought Ṁ200 NO from 8% to 7%
predicted NO

The ‘prominent account’ immediately said it was ‘almost definitely fake’.

https://x.com/bindureddy/status/1735332680898949588?s=20

The other prominent account who widely shared the leak seems to have done so mostly to self-promote.

https://x.com/daniel_nguyenx/status/1735260556892967170?s=20

I’m calling BS on this one. Might be wrong though!

bought Ṁ500 of NO

@NicoDelon I would believe GPT-4.5. I don't believe it's going to include 3D. OpenAI doesn't have any in-progress models that I know of that do 3D.

boughtṀ1,000NO

@Mira I was thinking, When is Mira coming to clean up the mess?