What will be true of OpenAI's next major LLM release (GPT-4.5 or GPT-5)?
154
4.4kṀ25kresolved Jun 25
Resolved
YESachieve the highest ELO rating on LMSYS (ChatBot Arena)
Resolved
YESreleased in 2024
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YESis released within 1 week of being announced
Resolved
YESsupport long-term memory
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YESsupport video input
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YESIt is the gpt2-chatbot released earlier on Lmsys Arena Leaderboard
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NOsupport more agentic, time-consuming tasks with minimal input
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NOcontext window >= 500k tokens
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NOonly available through ChatGPT interface at the beginning
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NOit is named GPT-5
This question will be resolved when the new model is released. Variations of GPT-4 won't count; only major new models will qualify. The deadline will be postponed if neither model is released by the end of the month.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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