Hot UK Politics

Conservative leadership and the forthcoming election

Will Conservative MPs move against Rishi Sunak after the local elections?2% chance

Will Rishi Sunak face a Conservative Vote of No Confidence before the next general election?18% chance

#UK General Election 2024

UK General Election - which month in 2024 will it take place?

44%

October 2024

38%

November 2024

5%

July 2024

4%

Not before 2025

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#UK Conservative Party

Who will be the next Conservative Party Leader?

35%

Penny Mordaunt

22%

Kemi Badenoch

15%

Other

5%

Priti Patel

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Sunak Pledges

Markets tracking Rishi Sunak’s five priorities.

When will the first asylum seeker be sent from the UK to Rwanda?

8%

03) May 2024

12%

04) June 2024

55%

05) July 2024

Resolved

NO

01) March 2024

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#UK Conservative Party

Will the UK's monthly GDP figure published on 10th May show positive growth?75% chance

#UK economic data