UK General Election - which month in 2024 will it take place?
153
6.4kṀ150k
resolved May 31
100%99.0%
July 2024
0.1%
May 2024
0.5%
October 2024
0.0%
September 2024
0.2%
November 2024
0.0%
April 2024
0.0%
June 2024
0.0%
December 2024
0.0%
August 2024
0.0%
Before 2024
0.0%
March 2024
0.0%
Not before 2025
0.0%
February 2024
0.0%
January 2024

A General Election is widely expected to take place in the UK in 2024.

While it is possible that we could face early elections in 2023 or that the government could hold out for a Christmas campaign and a January 2025 election (and there are options for this in the market), this is seen as pretty unlikely.

Which month will it be?

Resolution criteria:

  • This market applies to the main voting day regardless of early voting or anything like that

  • This market will resolve to the next General Election, so there won't be a split resolution if there are two GEs in the year (like there were in 1974)

  • The market will resolve once parliament is dissolved. This is the point at which the general election date is set in stone. In the very unlikely event that the election is delayed (eg. because the King dies or there is some sort of terrorist attack), the market will not be re-resolved.

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